Climate Change Impacts on Sustainable Bioenergy Generation in Pakistan /

Abstract

Climate change endangers modern civilization by threatening essential infrastructure. Warming could affect many energy subsectors. This hurts growing economies. Climate projections are crucial for planning and controlling future bioenergy supplies, especially in agriculturally rich regions and countries. Climate change affects temperature, precipitation, and agricultural productivity. Using Pakistani cities as a study area, we examine the effects of climate change on sustainable bioenergy in a developing country. We estimate temperature and precipitation at a 25km resolution for the fifth phase of the CMIP5. Wheat, maize, rice, and sugarcane output is forecast based on optimal growing conditions and temperature and precipitation.. Muzaffarabad and Quetta would yield 3083.3 and 3319.28 Kgs/Hec. of wheat in 2081-99 and 2061-80, respectively. Based on temperature , Sibi and Peshawar would yield 6990.94 Kgs/Hec. and 6774.91 Kgs/Hec. of maize, respectively, whereas Peshawar would produce between 6717 Kgs/Hec. and 6801 Kgs/Hec . Bannu will produce between 2576.25 and 2616.84 Kgs/Hec. of rice between 2041 and 2060, whilst Muzaffarabad would produce between 2081 and 1999 between 2640 and 2681 Kgs/Hec. Islamabad will produce 69422 Kgs/Hec. in 2041-60 and 70101 Kgs/Hec. in 2081-99, depending on precipitation. Climate change will have an impact on planting seasons, according to our research. Several cities may respond positively and generate a large amount of crops. The ratio of crop residues to crop yields, as well as a variety of other biofuel-related characteristics, are discussed, and cities that are ideal for the future installation of bioenergy producing facilities are identified and recommended based on these criteria.